MARKET OUTLOOK FOR APRIL1, 2025 TRADING AND INVESTMENT STRATEGY GOING FORWARD

As of March 30, 2025, the Indian stock market has exhibited notable movements influenced by domestic and international factors. The Nifty 50 index experienced a significant 6.3% rise in March, marking its best performance in 15 months and helping to recover from a historic five-month losing streak. ​

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3/29/20252 min read

As of March 30, 2025, the Indian stock market has exhibited notable movements influenced by domestic and international factors. The Nifty 50 index experienced a significant 6.3% rise in March, marking its best performance in 15 months and helping to recover from a historic five-month losing streak. ​

Reuters

Market Outlook for April 1, 2025:

Support and Resistance Levels:

Nifty 50:

Support: 23,400 and 23,200

Resistance: 23,600 and 24,000

Bank Nifty:

Support: 51,500 and 51,000

Resistance: 52,000 and 52,500

Trading Strategies:

Intraday Trading:

Nifty 50:

Buy near: 23,470–23,500

Target: 23,620 / 23,750

Stop-loss: 23,440

Bank Nifty:

Buy above: 52,000

Sell below: 51,500

Stop-loss: As per risk appetite

Positional Trading:

Nifty 50:

Maintain long positions with trailing stop-loss at: 23,350

Upside target: 23,800–23,950 for early April

Stock Recommendations:

Infosys (INFY):

Action: Buy

Target: ₹1,590

Stop-loss: ₹1,540

Comment: Strong setup with global tailwinds

ICICI Bank (ICICIBANK):

Action: Buy

Target: ₹1,125

Stop-loss: ₹1,085

Comment: Momentum in BFSI sector

Cipla (CIPLA):

Action: Buy

Target: ₹1,215

Stop-loss: ₹1,180

Comment: The Pharma sector showing pickup with low risk

Dabur India (DABUR):

Action: Buy

Target: ₹620

Stop-loss: ₹596

Comment: Steady performer with volume breakout

Options Strategy:

Bear Put Spread:

Outlook: Moderately bearish​

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Action: Buy a put option at a higher strike price and sell a put option at a lower strike price with the same expiration date.​

Purpose: To capitalize on a potential decline in Nifty 50 while limiting risk.​

Additional Considerations:

Market Holidays: Be aware that the Indian stock market will be closed on April 10 (Mahavir Jayanti), April 14 (Dr. B.R. Ambedkar Jayanti), and April 18 (Good Friday). ​

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Historical Trends: The Nifty 50 index has posted positive returns in April in 9 out of the last 15 years. However, performance in April tends to be weaker when preceded by a strong March. ​

Upstox - Online Stock and Share Trading

Final Trading Tips:

Risk Management: Implement strict stop-loss orders to protect capital.​

Stay Informed: Keep abreast of global cues and economic indicators that may influence market movements.​

Diversification: Ensure your portfolio is diversified across sectors to mitigate sector-specific risks.​

Please note that stock market investments carry inherent risks. It's advisable to consult with a certified financial advisor to tailor strategies to your individual financial goals and risk tolerance.